Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.065718 0.078080 0.091962 0.108680 0.128244 0.150390 0.177335
2025-03-16 0.045615 0.061112 0.080529 0.106540 0.140364 0.182732 0.239697
2025-03-23 0.035722 0.052599 0.075635 0.109144 0.156374 0.220248 0.312803
2025-03-30 0.028239 0.045046 0.069701 0.108121 0.166009 0.249384 0.377799
2025-04-06 0.022584 0.038674 0.063829 0.105463 0.171942 0.273035 0.437113
2025-04-13 0.018201 0.033259 0.058203 0.101804 0.175151 0.292234 0.491315
2025-04-20 0.015796 0.030595 0.056410 0.103772 0.187199 0.326166 0.572259
2025-04-27 0.013687 0.028004 0.054219 0.104540 0.197050 0.357330 0.651982
2025-05-04 0.011927 0.025706 0.052115 0.105008 0.206211 0.388083 0.734220
2025-05-11 0.010589 0.023967 0.050736 0.106523 0.217305 0.423262 0.827988
2025-05-18 0.009685 0.022948 0.050571 0.110298 0.233047 0.468484 0.944915
2025-05-25 0.008241 0.020478 0.047044 0.106710 0.233737 0.485282 1.009773
2025-06-01 0.007277 0.018941 0.045300 0.106717 0.241986 0.518171 1.110744
2025-06-08 0.006327 0.017251 0.042954 0.105072 0.246567 0.544331 1.201456
2025-06-15 0.005790 0.016477 0.042562 0.107745 0.260830 0.591917 1.341396
2025-06-22 0.005108 0.015186 0.040728 0.106756 0.266709 0.622342 1.448272
2025-06-29 0.004437 0.013782 0.038375 0.104135 0.268412 0.643781 1.537848
2025-07-06 0.003815 0.012383 0.035792 0.100520 0.267216 0.658511 1.613947
2025-07-13 0.003510 0.011847 0.035394 0.102466 0.279885 0.706323 1.770467
2025-07-20 0.003192 0.011205 0.034596 0.103224 0.289650 0.748344 1.917818
2025-07-27 0.002900 0.010578 0.033739 0.103687 0.298702 0.789601 2.067595
2025-08-03 0.002671 0.010113 0.033274 0.105184 0.310688 0.839321 2.243044
2025-08-10 0.002529 0.009911 0.033564 0.108914 0.329233 0.907414 2.470930